Republicans’ enthusiasm gap over Democrats narrows

From the GALLOP:

Republicans’ enthusiasm about voting in the election for president next year has decreased, with 49% of Republicans and independents who lean Republican now saying they are more enthusiastic than usual about voting, down from 58% in September. This narrows the gap between them and Democrats, 44% of whom are more enthusiastic than usual, essentially the same as in September.

Gallup has found that voting enthusiasm generally relates to the eventual election outcome in midterm and presidential election years. In election years in which one party has a clear advantage on enthusiasm, that party tends to fare better in the midterm elections or win the presidential election.

Democrats enjoyed a significant enthusiasm advantage in 2008, for example, as they focused on returning a Democrat to the White House after eight years of Republican control. Similarly, Republicans held the edge on this measure in two surveys in early 2000 — an election that followed eight years of Democratic control of the White House. In 2004, as Republican George W. Bush sought re-election, the advantage in enthusiasm among Democrats and Republicans fluctuated…

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